AGP Executive Report
Last update: 11 hours agoEthiopia–Djibouti Trade Risk: Fighting in northern Ethiopia is intensifying again, with the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) seizing airports and pushing into Afar and Amhara, raising fears of a return to the 2020–2022 civil war and threatening the corridor that keeps Ethiopia’s imports moving through Djibouti. Humanitarian Pressure: Aid groups warn civilians are at risk as displacement in Afar is estimated at 150,000 and UN officials flag drone use and harm to non-combatants. Djibouti Calls for De-escalation: Djibouti urged dialogue and peaceful resolution, saying the renewed conflict is destabilizing and counterproductive to regional economic integration. Energy Infrastructure Push: Djibouti is building a Damerjog energy hub with a 375,000 m³ petroleum terminal and up to 5 million tonnes annual processing capacity to strengthen fuel supply for Ethiopia. Dangote Fuel Pipeline Deal: Aliko Dangote is helping fund a $660m Ethiopia–Djibouti refined-products pipeline, aimed at cutting fuel delivery time from days to about one day and reducing transport costs. Red Sea Economics & Migration: UNHCR says nearly 4,000 people have crossed from Yemen to Djibouti recently, while maritime insecurity continues to raise costs for the Horn’s trade routes.
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